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Volatility jumps as market prepares for an action-packed week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges as dollar remains on the back footVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly high, led by oilStock indices experience strong volatility amidst a tentative rallyEuro/dollar volatility has jumped over the past week, as the FX market is whipsawed by the possibility of another strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has risen aggressively, with the yen surrendering part of its recent sizeable gains on the back of weaker data and a general el
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Technical Analysis – US 500 calms down after hitting new record high

US 500 index climbed to new record highs last weekBut got rejected and has retreated a little sinceMACD and RSI look overboughtFollowing the bounce off the 5,385 support level, the US 500 (cash) index added more than 7%, reaching an all-time high of 5,772.52 last week. Technically, the index is sailing near overbought waters, according to the MACD oscillator.
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Technical Analysis – Another record for the US 500 index

US 500 stock index hits another all-time highTechnical signals mixed; more buying awaited above 5,750 The US 500 stock index restarted its positive trend on Tuesday, inching up to a record high of 5,736 after keeping its foot on the rising almost one-year-old constraining line at 5,674.Mixed technical signals are observed, with the RSI slightly below its 70 overbought level and the stochastic oscillator returning to the overbought region with a positive slope, indicating the possibility of add
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S&P 500 hits another record on Fed put but tech stocks look shaky – Stock Markets

S&P 500 and Dow Jones close at new peaks but Nasdaq stuttersFed rate cut boosts risk appetite, China stimulus further lifts sentimentBut tech stocks are mixed as AI rally cools, earnings doubts creep inThe bulls return from summer hiatusAfter a prolonged period of unusual calm in the markets, volatility was back with a vengeance during the summer and autumn got off to an equally bumpy start.
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Volatility drops across the board after the Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar underperforms Volatility in commodities stays elevated, led by gold Stock indices experience decent volatility despite the rally Euro/dollar volatility has eased a bit over the past week, as the market digested the strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has dropped aggressively lower, as the yen surrendered part of its recent sizeable gains, despite the fact that the BoJ maintained the chances of another rate
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Stocks’ positive reaction might continue until the second Fed rate cut

The Fed announced its first rate cut with a relatively balanced rhetoric History points to a high probability of back-to-back moves Dollar/yen and Treasury yields tend to drop until the second rate cut Barring a major event, stocks’ positive performance could continue The Fed commenced its monetary policy easing cycle in aggressive fashion by announcing an almost unanimous decision to cut rates by 50bps.
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Technical Analysis – US 100 index in anticipation mode ahead of the Fed

US 100 index trades sideways ahead of the Fed meeting It battles with the July 11, 2024 descending trendline Momentum indicators are tentatively bullish The US 100 cash index is moving sideways today, continuing its low volatility sessions, as market participants are staying on the sidelines ahead of the crucial Fed meeting. The first Fed rate cut since March 2020 will most likely be announced later today with speculation being rife about a 50bps rate cut, with arguable impact on s
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What’s the magic in Walmart’s stock? - Stock Markets

Walmart might be lacking the shine of AI stocks, but it's outlook is bright Its AI initiatives could be a blueprint for the retail sector The stock is the winner within the Dow-Jones; next target at $82.40    Corporate taxes come under the spotlight The US presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris boosted bets of a Democratic win, with investors growing concerned about potential tax increases on corporate profits and capital gains.
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Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index records another all-time high

US 30 posts several days of gains Price holds near upper band of ascending channel Stochastic looks overbought The US 30 cash index experienced a new all-time high during Monday’s session touching the 41,740 level. The price completed four consecutive green days following the strong rebound off the 40,000 psychological mark and continues to hold near the upper boundary of the upward sloping channel.

US 500 index holds above 20- and 50-day SMAs Stochastics and RSI turn slightly lower MACD remains above its trigger and zero line The US 500 (cash) index added around 5% so far, following the pullback off 5,385 and posted five consecutive green days. The price is ready to rechallenge the previous peak of 5,650 ahead of the all-time high of 5,673.39. Steeper increases may open the way for a test of the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level of the latest bearish correction from 5,673.39 t
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index halts decline, but will it pivot?

US 500 stock index pauses decline near 100-SMA, but negative risks remain Breaking above 5,600 could positively impact buying sentiment   The US 500 stock index maintained support close to its 100-day simple moving average (SMA) for a second consecutive day, raising hopes that the current bearish phase may soon diminish. From a technical perspective, there are still some negative developments that should be considered.
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Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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Technical Analysis – Apple stock holds a bullish bias

Apple capped by 20- and 50-day SMAs Prices stand above uptrend line Momentum oscillators show neutral-to-bullish mode Apple introduced a range of new technologies, including the iPhone 16, on Monday. This device incorporates significant enhancements that the company intends to showcase to users. Currently, the market is trading above the 220 level, failing to drop beneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 164 to 236.55 at 219. Immediate resistance is com
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index could see further weakness

US 500 index posts negative days lately Next support at long-term rising trend line Momentum oscillators confirm bearish correction The US 500 cash index is recording the fourth straight negative session, losing more than 3%. The price is currently retreating beneath the 5,565 strong resistance level as well as below the 20- and the 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
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Nvidia loses August’s wins as recession risks resurface Short-term bias skewed to the downside; more sellers wait below 100.45   Nvidia’s stock has been suffering along with other key tech stocks in the face of renewed recession fears, which could harm AI growth perspectives, losing more than 10% during the previous days. According to pre-market trading, today’s session might be another struggle after the wide miss in the ADP employment data.
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Stocks could suffer after the September Fed rate cut

US labour market data to determine the size of the first Fed rate cut History points to an increased possibility of a 50bps move Analysis reveals sizeable equities’ weakness after the initial cut Following Fed Chairman Powell's appearance at the Jackson Hole Symposium and this indirect announcement of the much-discussed Fed rate cut, the market is counting down to the September 18 meeting.
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Technical Analysis – US 100 index under pressure

US 100 index drops, reversing the August rally Nvidia woes keep sentiment negative Momentum indicators are turning bearish The US 100 cash index is in the red again today, trading back below the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and having surrendered half of its August gains. Nvidia’s underperformance is keeping the index under pressure with the market preparing for this week's key US labour market data releases and counting down to the September 18 Fed meeting.
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Volatility eases across the board ahead of key US data – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility drops as market prepares for an action-packed week Volatility in commodities crashes to new lows apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much lower volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is preparing for this week’s US labour market data releases that could play a key role in determining the size of the imminent rate cut by the Fed.
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US 30 index hangs near record high – Stock Markets

US 30 benefits from weaker correlation with tech stocks; holds near record high Downside risks remain, but sentiment still positive above 41,000     The US 30 index has less exposure to AI-related technology companies and that’s partially the reason why it has gained only 9.7% year-to-date versus the double-digit growth of around 19% in the US 500 and US 100 indices.
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