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Is the tide turning on European cyclicals?



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>LIVE MARKETS-Is the tide turning on European cyclicals?</title></head><body>

STOXX 600 down 0.1%

China bounce loses steam

VW starts pay talks with unions

Nasdaq futures fall

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IS THE TIDE TURNING ON EUROPEAN CYCLICALS?

With China's big stimulus measures expected to kick in, investors are not just upbeat about the prospect of the world's second-largest economy, but also other pockets of markets that are closely linked to it.

Among those are cyclical sectors in Europe - including autos, luxury goods and mining - that have borne the brunt of slowing Chinese demand and weak consumer confidence in the euro zone, making them some of the biggest laggards in 2024.

While the latest announcement from Beijing is unlikely to solve China's underlying issues, it improves the case for European cyclical stocks that have been hit particularly hard, Citi strategists said.

"European China proxies have seen downward revisions to 24E EPS of ~10% YTD, 5x larger than the overall market. And while fwd PEs have risen this year for the STOXX 600, our China-sensitive basket has derated ~7%. Any stabilisation in China-linked parts of the markets would help," said Citi strategist Beata Manthey.

Citi said extreme earnings downgrades in the sector and falling interest rates across the globe could set up cyclical stocks for gains, but they are more selective.

Citi upgraded basic resources sector to 'neutral', having recently upgraded autos. They however maintain an 'overweight' rating on tech and healthcare sectors.

(Sruthi Shankar)

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EARLIER ON LIVE MARKETS:

STOXX OFF TO MUTED START, SAP HIT CLICK HERE

CHINA BOOST SET TO FADE IN EUROPE CLICK HERE

AFTER CHINA'S STIMULUS SUGAR RUSH CLICK HERE


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