Trade estimates for USDA September US corn, soy production
Corrects table to show Marex Capital corrected their estimate of soybean harvested acreage to 86.271 from 83.396, corrects average and low trade estimates accordingly
Sept 6 (Reuters) -The following are analysts' estimates ahead of the September crop supply/demand report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, which will include figures for 2024-25 U.S. corn and soybean production.
The USDA is scheduled to release the report on Thursday, Sept. 12, at 12 p.m. EDT (1600 GMT).
Reuters surveys analysts for their expectations of what the USDA will report and for the analysts' own estimates. Reuters publishes these sets of numbers separately.
NOTE: Production figures are in billions of bushels, yield figures in bushels per acre and harvested acres in millions of acres.
PREDICTING USDA:
Corn | Soybeans | ||||||
Production | Yield | Harv. acreage | Production | Yield | Harv. acreage | ||
Average trade estimate | 15.076 | 182.4 | 82.650 | 4.589 | 53.2 | 86.259 | |
Highest trade estimate | 15.147 | 183.5 | 82.710 | 4.740 | 54.9 | 86.300 | |
Lowest trade estimate | 14.932 | 180.5 | 82.200 | 4.447 | 52.0 | 86.000 | |
USDA August | 15.147 | 183.1 | 82.710 | 4.589 | 53.2 | 86.271 | |
ADM Investor Services | 15.120 | 182.8 | 82.700 | 4.615 | 53.5 | 86.300 | |
AgMarket | 15.103 | 182.6 | 82.700 | 4.564 | 52.9 | 86.300 | |
AgriSompo | 15.134 | 183.0 | 82.700 | 4.599 | 53.3 | 86.300 | |
Allendale Inc | 15.097 | 182.5 | 4.601 | 53.3 | |||
Brugler Marketing | 15.060 | 182.1 | 82.700 | 4.572 | 53.0 | 86.270 | |
CHS Hedging | 15.055 | 182.0 | 82.700 | 4.512 | 52.3 | 86.300 | |
Doane Advisory Services | 14.979 | 181.1 | 82.710 | 4.740 | 54.9 | 86.270 | |
EFG Group | 15.135 | 183.0 | 82.710 | 4.529 | 52.5 | 86.271 | |
Grain Cycles | 15.003 | 181.4 | 82.710 | 4.676 | 54.2 | 86.270 | |
Futures International | 15.114 | 183.0 | 82.600 | 4.568 | 53.0 | 86.200 | |
Grain Service Corp | 15.110 | 182.7 | 82.700 | 4.568 | 53.0 | 86.300 | |
Marex Capital | 15.053 | 182.0 | 82.710 | 4.572 | 53.0 | 86.271 | |
McKeany-Flavell | 15.147 | 183.1 | 82.700 | 4.589 | 53.0 | 86.300 | |
Midland Research | 14.932 | 180.5 | 82.710 | 4.675 | 54.2 | 86.270 | |
Northstar Commodity | 15.056 | 82.500 | 4.589 | 86.300 | |||
Sid Love Consulting | 15.084 | 183.5 | 82.200 | 4.601 | 53.5 | 86.000 | |
StoneX Group Inc | 15.127 | 182.9 | 82.700 | 4.575 | 53.0 | 86.300 | |
U.S. Commodities | 14.975 | 181.5 | 82.500 | 4.447 | 52.0 | 86.100 | |
Vantage RM | 15.147 | 183.1 | 82.700 | 4.574 | 53.0 | 86.300 | |
Zaner Ag Hedge | 15.085 | 182.4 | 82.700 | 4.608 | 53.4 | 86.300 | |
ANALYSTS' OWN ESTIMATES:
Corn | Soybeans | ||||||
Production | Yield | Harv. acreage | Production | Yield | Harv. acreage | ||
Average trade estimate | 15.097 | 182.6 | 82.692 | 4.592 | 53.3 | 86.144 | |
Highest trade estimate | 15.187 | 183.6 | 82.777 | 4.740 | 54.9 | 86.300 | |
Lowest trade estimate | 14.975 | 181.1 | 82.500 | 4.447 | 52.0 | 85.509 | |
USDA August | 15.147 | 183.1 | 82.710 | 4.589 | 53.2 | 86.271 | |
ADM Investor Services | 15.120 | 182.8 | 82.700 | 4.615 | 53.5 | 86.300 | |
AgriSompo | 15.134 | 183.0 | 82.770 | 4.599 | 53.3 | 86.300 | |
DC Analysis | 14.979 | 181.1 | 4.740 | 54.9 | |||
Futures International | 15.118 | 182.8 | 82.700 | 4.544 | 52.7 | 86.200 | |
Linn & Associates | 15.029 | 182.3 | 4.585 | 53.2 | |||
LSEG Agriculture Research | 15.187 | 183.5 | 82.777 | 4.596 | 53.8 | 85.509 | |
Michael Cordonnier | 15.090 | 182.5 | 4.570 | 53.0 | |||
Risk Management Commodities | 15.051 | 182.0 | 4.574 | 53.0 | |||
R.J. O'Brien | 15.167 | 183.4 | 4.569 | 53.0 | |||
StoneX Group Inc | 15.127 | 182.9 | 82.700 | 4.575 | 53.0 | 86.300 | |
U.S. Commodities | 14.975 | 181.5 | 82.500 | 4.447 | 52.0 | 86.100 | |
Zaner Ag Hedge | 15.184 | 183.6 | 82.700 | 4.695 | 54.4 | 86.300 | |
Reporting by Anjana Anil and Anmol Choubey in Bengaluru; editing by Jonathan Oatis
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