US crude, product inventories likely fell last week
Oct 1 (Reuters) -U.S. crude oil and fuel stockpiles were expected to have fallen last week, an extended Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.
Ten analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories fell by about 1.3 millionbarrels in the week to Sept. 27.
The poll was conducted ahead of a report from the American Petroleum Institute industry group at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Tuesday and one from the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on Wednesday.
In the week ended Sept. 20, the EIA said crude stocks dropped by 4.5 million barrels to 413 million barrels, exceeding the 1.4 million-barrel draw analysts had expected in a Reuters poll.
REUTERS FORECAST CHANGE FOR WEEK ENDED 09/27/24 | ACTUAL FOR WEEK (EIA) ENDED 09/20/24 | CHANGE VS PREVIOUS WEEK | YR-AGO CHANGE WEEK ENDED 09/29/23 | |
CRUDE | -1.3 MLN | 413.0 MLN | -4.5 MLN | -2.2 MLN |
DISTILLATE | -1.5 MLN | 122.9 MLN | -2.2 MLN | -1.3 MLN |
GASOLINE | -0.1 MLN | 220.1 MLN | -1.5 MLN | 6.5 MLN |
REFINERY RUNS | -0.5 PCT PT | 90.9% | -1.2 PCT PT | -2.2 PCT PT |
NATGAS STORAGE FORECAST | 60 BCF TO 65 BCF (THREE FORECASTS) | |||
Analysts estimated stockpiles of gasoline USOILG=ECI fell by about 100,000 barrelslast week, while distillate inventories USOILD=ECI, which include diesel and heating oil, were expected to have decreased by about 1.5 million barrels.
The rate of refinery utilization USOIRU=ECI was estimated to have decreased by 0.5 percentage pointfrom 90.9% of total capacity in the previous week, the poll found.
All figures for stocks are in millions of barrels. Refinery rate changes are measured in percentage points.
Organization | Crude | Distillate | Gasoline | Refinery runs |
Again Capital | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Confluence | 1.0 | -2.0 | 0.5 | -0.3 |
Commodity Research Group | -1.5 | -1.4 | 0.4 | -0.7 |
Excel Futures | -3.1 | -2.3 | -1.7 | - |
Price Group | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -1.0 |
Ritterbusch Associates | -2.0 | -0.8 | 1.0 | -0.3 |
Rystad Energy | -0.9 | -2.8 | 1.7 | -3.5 |
Stratas Advisor | -3.7 | -0.6 | -2.7 | -0.7 |
Macquarie Group | 0.1 | -1.4 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
LSEG | -1.0 | -1.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
Reporting by Anushree Mukherjee, Anmol Choubey, and Anjana Anil in Bengaluru
Editing by Marguerita Choy and David Gregorio
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