US fast food chains: Truist data points to Q2 sales pressure despite value promotion
** Truist Securities based on card data tracking says setup into Q2 earnings for McDonald's MCD.N, Burger King and Wendy's WEN.O appears negative owing to culmination of outsized menu price increases since 2019
** Recent launches of $5 value meals from Restaurant Brands-owned QSR.TO Burger King and MCD to offset weaker sales "does not appear to be shifting momentum" - Brokerage
** Notes MCD same-store sales declined in May and June, from flat growth in April, with last week of June "the weakest in the quarter" despite launch of its '$5 Meal Deal'
** Truist cuts PT on MCD to $300 from $320; slashes PT on QSR to $87 from $90, retains "buy" rating on both stocks
** Says Texas Roadhouse TXRH.O and Wingstop WING.O potential earnings outliers in qtr, as Y/Y sales growth remained solid in May, continuing into June
** Adds consumers are finding TXRH and fast casual restaurants worth for money through experience, quality and value
** Analyst Jake Bartlett says fast food operators may shift away from deep value promotions to (affordable) menu innovation to boost sales, which would be a positive for the industry overall
** Truist Card Data tracks spending at the restaurants for 6 mln-7 mln U.S. consumers, with a regional skew to the Southeast
** YTD, MCD stock down 16.4%, QSR fell 10.4%, WEN declined ~19%, underperforming broader S&P 500 index .SPX which is up 16.8%
Reporting by Savyata Mishra in Bengaluru
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