FX markets could turn ugly
Oct 4 (Reuters) -FX markets could turn ugly as traders exit bets against the dollar to establish positions that will protect them against the risk-averse conditions likely to arise from China's economic woes and war in the Middle East.
Energy prices have shot higher with crude oil rising 10% in a few days, natural gas rising by 60% since August, and palm oil hitting an eight-month high.
There is more inflation in the pipeline, which is bad news for the many traders betting that U.S. interest rates drop rapidly, and the dollar falls with them.
There has also been a rush to buy equities following China's economic stimulus that drove MSCI's world index to a record peak and helped boost currencies that are highly correlated with risk, such as Australia's dollar and the South African rand, to multi-month highs.
As a result, traders are poorly positioned for the negative situation that led to China's stimulus, and the threat to energy supplies stemming from conflict in the Middle East.
This has happened shortly before the U.S. presidential election, and the end of the year, both of which are likely to encourage traders to pare risk, which will create an air of risk aversion that will have a negative influence on the many traders who are sitting short of dollars.
For more click on FXBUZ
Energy prices https://tmsnrt.rs/3ZQeet1
(Jeremy Boulton is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
</body></html>
免责声明: XM Group仅提供在线交易平台的执行服务和访问权限，并允许个人查看和/或使用网站或网站所提供的内容，但无意进行任何更改或扩展，也不会更改或扩展其服务和访问权限。所有访问和使用权限，将受下列条款与条例约束：(i) 条款与条例；(ii) 风险提示；以及(iii) 完整免责声明。请注意，网站所提供的所有讯息，仅限一般资讯用途。此外，XM所有在线交易平台的内容并不构成，也不能被用于任何未经授权的金融市场交易邀约和/或邀请。金融市场交易对于您的投资资本含有重大风险。
所有在线交易平台所发布的资料，仅适用于教育/资讯类用途，不包含也不应被视为用于金融、投资税或交易相关咨询和建议，或是交易价格纪录，或是任何金融商品或非应邀途径的金融相关优惠的交易邀约或邀请。
本网站上由XM和第三方供应商所提供的所有内容，包括意见、新闻、研究、分析、价格、其他资讯和第三方网站链接，皆保持不变，并作为一般市场评论所提供，而非投资性建议。所有在线交易平台所发布的资料，仅适用于教育/资讯类用途，不包含也不应被视为适用于金融、投资税或交易相关咨询和建议，或是交易价格纪录，或是任何金融商品或非应邀途径的金融相关优惠的交易邀约或邀请。请确保您已阅读并完全理解，XM非独立投资研究提示和风险提示相关资讯，更多详情请点击 这里。
