Sterling trend low magnetic as traders await further bank rate clarity
GBP/USD remained mired near trend lows on Wednesday, though supported for a third session by 1.3060, and is likely to remain on the back foot as central banks continue to adjust after the Fed's jumbo 50bp rate cut last month.
Later on Wednesday traders will parse minutes of the Fed's Sept. 17-18 meeting for signs of policy direction.
Sterling vulnerability was exacerbated by BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's comments last week about the potential for more aggressive easing if inflation continued to weaken.
For now, with inflation hovering above target, the BoE is likely to hold to its relatively hawkish narrative and remain on a slower rate cut pace.
However, if inflation moves lower, as Bailey noted, a faster pace of cuts would likely put considerable downward pressure on GBP/USD, stirring a further reduction in net spec longs 1096742NNET.
That could take out recent lows near 1.3057 and psychological support by 1.30, putting the pound on a path to post-BoE cut lows by 1.2666.
For more click on FXBUZ
Sterling Chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/3ZTCmuN
(Paul Spirgel is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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