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Payrolls hangover: Geopolitics, uncertainties weigh on risk appetite



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Major indexes modestly red; Nasdaq off most, down ~0.4%

Cons disc weakest S&P sector; Energy leads gainers

Euro STOXX 600 index up ~0.2%

Dollar slips; gold dips; crude up ~2; bitcoin up >2%

U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield rises to ~4.02%

Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com

PAYROLLS HANGOVER: GEOPOLITICS, UNCERTAINTIES WEIGH ON RISK APPETITE

U.S. stocks are easing back on Monday, after investors had a weekend to digest Friday's blowout jobs report, which sparked a rally and sent analysts scrambling to reassess their expectations for further rate cuts from the Fed this year.

All three major U.S. stock indexes are modestly lower straight out of the starting gate, with energy shares .SPNY posting the only real gains as front month crude futures CLc1 resume their climb on supply concerns arising from Geopolitical worries.

Those worries are on the front burner, reaching the grim one-year anniversary Hamas attacks in Israel which ignited the current conflict even as the war sweeps into Lebanon.

And of course looming Presidential election, in which former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are essentially neck-and-neck on the polls, is tossing additional uncertainties on the growing heap.

The CBOE Market Volatility index .VIX, often viewed as a barometer of investor anxiety, touched its highest intra-day level since September 11, and at current levels, is on track to notch its highest close in over a month.

There were no economic indicators before the bell, forcing market participants to look ahead to Thursday and Friday, which will bring the Labor Department's double-take on September inflation, in the form of its consumer and producer price indexes (CPI and PPI, respectively).

Seeing as how the first glimpse at September inflation - hourly wage growth - gained some unexpected heat, financial markets are now pricing in a 90.2% likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's November meeting, with a small-but-growing camp that believes the central bank will leave the Fed funds target rate where it is, in the 4.75% to 5.00% range, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Here's where things stood as of 10:08 EDT:



(Stephen Culp)

*****



FOR MONDAY'S EARLIER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:


CRUDE OIL FUTURES HEATING UP ON THE CHARTS - CLICK HERE


U.S. ELECTION: PREPARE FOR UNCERTAINTY AND VOLATILITY - CLICK HERE


REAL ESTATE TOUR: WARMING UP TO OFFICES - CLICK HERE


RISING YIELDS WEIGH, BANKS EDGE UP - CLICK HERE


EUROPEAN FUTURES INCH HIGHER - CLICK HERE


US 'NO LANDING' SCENARIO LIFTS MARKETS - CLICK HERE



Opening snapshot https://reut.rs/3BASqay

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