US 10-year yield rises to 4% for first time in two months
Updates with flattening of yield curve and comment
LONDON, Oct 7 (Reuters) -The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4% for the first time in two months on Monday, as markets bet against another jumbo rate cut from the Federal Reserve after Friday's strong U.S. jobs data pointed to a resilient economy.
The 10-year yield US10YT=RR was up 3 basis points (bps) at 4.008%, having risen as high as 4.014% in London trade.It rose 13 bps on Friday, its biggest one-day rise since June 30.
The two-year yield US2YT=RR, which is more sensitive to changes in monetary policy expectations, was up 7 bps to 4.006%, its highest since Aug. 22. It rose almost 22 bps on Friday, its biggest daily rise since April.
The closely watched spread between two- and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields US2US10=RR briefly turned negative for the first time since Sept. 18, the day the Fed cut rates by 50 bps.
Data on Friday showed the U.S. economy added 254,000 nonfarm payrolls in September, well above the expectations of economists polled by Reuters.
"Friday's U.S. labour report put paid to U.S. recession fears and most remaining hopes that the Fed could follow up September’s rate cut with another 50 bps move next month," said Jane Foley, senior FX strategist at Rabobank.
Markets are fully pricing a 25 basis point rate cut in November, but see next-to-no chance of a larger 50 bps move, having seen around a 33% chance of one last week.
Reporting by Samuel Indyk and Harry Robertson, editing by Alun John and Dhara Ranasinghe
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