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Reuters - 1天前

FX options wrap - Fear gauges swing toward USD gains

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Fear gauges swing toward USD gains FX volatility measures are trading higher amid the latest USD recovery and remain alert for additional gains. Implied volatility was already higher to recognise the increased realised volatility risk from Friday's impending U.S. jobs data , with Tuesday's USD gains adding to nerves and prompting additional demand.
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Reuters - 2天前

FX options wrap: Volatility gains, value, EUR call, US election

REFILE-BUZZ-FX options wrap: Volatility gains, value, EUR call, US election Adds chart Sub 1-month expiry FX option implied volatility has reached new recent highs to reflect the impending FX risk from Fed speakers and U.S. data, which culminates with Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Implied volatility setbacks are likely to remain limited ahead of the NFP, with benchmark 1-month options soon to reflect the perceived U.S.
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Reuters - 5天前

FX options wrap - JPY reversal, NFP risk, EUR struggle, GBP put

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY reversal, NFP risk, EUR struggle, GBP put The JPY reversed higher after Sanae Takaichi, a less BoJ-friendly LDP leadership and future PM contender, lost the election to Shigeru Ishiba, who is now set to become Japan's next Prime Minister. USD/JPY and its implied volatility fell on the JPY relief rally as topside hedges were pared.
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Reuters - 6天前

FX options wrap - EUR topside, U.S. PCE risk, LDP JPY warning

BUZZ-FX options wrap - EUR topside, U.S. PCE risk, LDP JPY warning Sept 26 (Reuters) - There was no significant change to option implied volatility on Thursday, which remains just above levels seen at the start of the week. Overnight CHF-related implied volatility highlighted the uncertainty surrounding Thursday's SNB policy announcement , but a lesser 25bps cut helped to limit the FX reaction.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - USD put, EUR value, GBP cap, JPY fear, SNB

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD put, EUR value, GBP cap, JPY fear, SNB A reluctance to build any significant short USD positions via USD put options could be highlighting a lack of conviction about deeper USD losses. EUR/USD is a case in point - testing above late August highs at 1.1201, but related implied volatility is only marginally higher and with limited demand or additional premium for topside strikes .
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - Risk, EUR 1.10, GBP barrier, U.S. Election

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk, EUR 1.10, GBP barrier, U.S. Election FX option implied volatility is mostly heavy, especially with the latest China stimulus package supporting risk. The U.S. election is now only six weeks away, but dealers point out a lack of option end-user demand for FX volatility protection when compared with the same period before the 2020 election.
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Reuters - 1周前

Explainer-The critical importance of FX option strike expiries

BUZZ-Explainer-The critical importance of FX option strike expiries Sept 24 (Reuters) - While it is not an exact science, larger impending FX option strikes can often have an effect on the FX spot market as their expiries draw closer. Here's why. While there are many types of traders and investors influencing the FX markets, perhaps the most important when it comes to options are the many institutions that supply and manage liquidity.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - CNH puts, RBA risk, GBP bulls, EUR outlook

BUZZ-FX options wrap - CNH puts, RBA risk, GBP bulls, EUR outlook FX option implied volatility is lower since the 50bps U.S. rate cut and expectations of more easing and a soft landing, which should limit the FX volatility potential before the U.S. election. USD/CNH risk premiums have fallen over recent months and Goldman Sachs notes a more favourable reward versus risk for owning certain topside strike options to benefit/hedge the risk of trade tariffs if Donald Trump wins the Nov.
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Reuters - 1周前

Stand-out FX option strike expiries this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries this week Sept 23 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance. There are some huge strikes expiring this week. The largest EUR/USD strikes are on Monday at 1.1150 on 1.9 billion euros, Tuesday at 1.1120-25 on 3.5 billion euros and Wednesday at 1.1100 on 913 million euros and 1.1125-30 on 2.6 billion euros.
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Reuters - 2周前

Dollar catches footing ahead of Fed

FOREX-Dollar catches footing ahead of Fed By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, Sept 18 (Reuters) - The dollar steadied on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales had traders slightly trimming bets that the U.S. easing cycle will begin with an outsized interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in more than four years at 1800 GMT, which will be followed by a news conference half an hour later.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts G10 FX option implied volatility has fallen quite sharply since the U.S. NFP and CPI data removed much of the uncertainty about the U.S. rate path, which in turn, has aided a broader risk recovery. Benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility consequently trades new post data lows . However, o ne-week expiry options now include the U.S.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value

BUZZ-FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value Initially tame U.S. CPI FX volatility risk premium was marginally higher before Wednesday's slightly softer than expected data, which makes a 25bpts U.S. rate cut more likely than 50bps next week. The pre data premium rise in USD/JPY came after more JPY strength took the pair closer to 140.00 in Asia , with other dates higher, too.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations Sept 10 (Reuters) - Implied volatility has been on the back foot as FX volatility risk premiums were priced out in the wake of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, which left FX in familiar ranges. However, Wednesday's U.S. CPI data and a host of major G10 central bank policy announcements are limiting potentially deeper declines .
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs There has been a mild shift in sentiment since Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data lowered the probability of a 50bps U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut on Sept 18. Demand and premium for FX options to protect against near-term FX volatility and USD weakness was strong ahead of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, but it has been quick to revert lower since, despite the impending U.S.
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Reuters - 4周前

FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market The USD has been under renewed pressure since Wednesday's U.S. jolts data and the market is on high alert for Friday's U.S. jobs data and its potential to sway the U.S. Fed into a 50bps cut on Sept. 18. Overnight expiry now encompasses Friday's jobs report, and the sharp rise in related implied volatility highlights the largest realised volatility risk premium for any jobs data release this year .
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Reuters - 4周前

FX options wrap - JPY surge, NFP risk, long gamma, CHF puts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY surge, NFP risk, long gamma, CHF puts Risk aversion and JPY gains are driving JPY related implied volatility and its JPY call over put skew higher. USD/JPY 1-month expiry implied volatility from 11.9 to 12.9 this week and 1-month 25 delta risk reversals regaining 2.0 from 1.6 vol premium for downside strikes. JPY call buying has dominated flows, with 140.00 being a popular strike .
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Reuters - 4周前

Dollar rises as traders eye data-heavy week; yen strengthens

FOREX-Dollar rises as traders eye data-heavy week; yen strengthens Updates to U.S. afternoon By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK, Sept 3 (Reuters) - The dollar rose to a two-week high against the euro on Tuesday as traders braced for a data-heavy week, including Friday's U.S. payrolls report that could shape the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
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Reuters - 4周前

Dollar firms as traders eye data-heavy week; yen rallies

RPT-FOREX-Dollar firms as traders eye data-heavy week; yen rallies Repeats removing word in first para Updates to U.S. morning By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK, Sept 3 (Reuters) - The dollar hovered near a two-week high against the euro on Tuesday as traders braced for a data-heavy week, including Friday's U.S. payrolls report that could shape the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
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Reuters - 4周前

FX options wrap - USD puts, NFP risk, JPY 140, huge euro

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts, NFP risk, JPY 140, huge euro Sept 3 (Reuters) - Broader FX option implied volatility setbacks remain limited ahead of Friday's U.S. jobs data and the strong risk premium for Friday expiries shows a market prepared for FX realised volatility to increase . Shorter dated expiry USD puts have been more sought and demand more premium than USD calls against many currencies.
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Reuters - 4周前

FX options wrap - Big expiries, NFP storm, directional flip

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Big expiries, NFP storm, directional flip Huge FX option strike expiries and their related cash hedging flows can have more of an impact on FX price action this week, as many traders are side-lined before the U.S. jobs data. Broader implied volatility appears heavy, which reinforces that scenario, although setbacks will remain minimal for options that include the jobs data.
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