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AUDUSD

XM市场研究

XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Daily Comment – PCE inflation corroborates dovish Fed bets

Softer PCE data keep chances of another 50bps Fed cut elevatedFed Chair Powell speaks, ISM PMIs and NFP on this week’s agendaYen rally pauses after Ishiba says policy should stay accommodativeAussie, kiwi and Chinese stocks celebrate PBoC’s measuresMarket assigns decent chance for back-to-back 50bps Fed cutThe dollar slipped against most of its major peers after Friday’s data revealed that the headline PCE price index slowed more than expected in August, although the more important core PC
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XM市场研究 - 6天前Neutral

Week Ahead – NFP on tap amid bets of another bold Fed rate cut

Investors see decent chance of another 50bps cut in NovemberFed speakers, ISM PMIs and NFP to shape rate cut betsEurozone CPI data awaited amid bets for more ECB cutsChina PMIs and BoJ Summary of Opinions also on tapWill the Fed opt for a back-to-back 50bps rate cut?Although the dollar slipped after the Fed decided to cut interest rates by 50bps and to signal that another 50bps worth of reductions are on the cards for the remainder of the year, the currency traded in a consolidative manner this
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XM市场研究 - 6天前Neutral

Technical Analysis – Will the AUDUSD rally pause prove temporary?

AUDUSD continues to experience high volatilityIt tests the resistance set by a long-term trendlineMomentum indicators send a mixed message AUDUSD is trading sideways today, following three very volatile sessions that pushed it to the highest level since February 2023. It is currently testing the resistance set by the February 25, 2021 downward sloping trendline, with today’s US PCE report potentially proving pivotal in the outcome of this battle.
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XM市场研究 - 6天前Neutral

Central banks easing: the race to the bottom has officially commenced

Fed to lead the easing spree in the fourth quarter of 2024A conservative approach is priced in for ECB and BoESNB, BoC and RBNZ to ease further; RBA could follow suitBoJ could surprise with another rate hike by year-end More rate cuts on the way in the fourth quarter of 2024Another round of central banks’ meetings has been completed with the Fed stealing the show by announcing the start of its easing cycle.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Daily Comment – China’s stimulus blitz supports positive equities sentiment

Dollar tries to recover as Fedspeak favors further cuts China announces new measures, positive initial market reaction Aussie benefits from another hawkish RBA meeting Gold, oil and pound rallies continue   Debate for the next Fed cut intensifies US stocks remain in a positive mood as Fed speakers continue to advocate for further rate cuts, despite the fact that the US data confirm the strength of the US economy.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD travels slightly below 9-month high

AUDUSD keeps bullish momentum Stochastics and RSI tick higher AUDUSD is flirting with the previous nine-month high of 0.6840 after the strong bounce off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6620. More buying interest could send traders towards the next resistance zone of 0.6870-0.6900 taken from the highs in December and June 2023 correspondingly.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Daily Comment – Euro sinks on poor PMIs, dollar firms ahead of Fedspeak

Eurozone PMIs dip into contraction zone, euro takes a dive Stocks mixed as weak PMIs offset optimism about China stimulus Dollar edges up as after Waller comments; Powell and PCE inflation eyed next Euro tumbles as recession fears return Eurozone business activity unexpectedly contracted in September according to the flash PMI estimates for September, sparking fresh concerns about the health of the economy.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Weekly Technical Outlook - USDCHF, AUDUSD, EURUSD

SNB to cut rates as USDCHF holds within range RBA to hold steady with AUDUSD standing near 9-month high US core PCE index in the spotlight after Fed decision; EURUSD retreats to 1.1100 SNB interest rate decision --> USDCHF The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will announce its policy decision on Thursday, following the announcements made by major central banks last week.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

RBA policy meeting : It’s not time for a rate cut yet – Preview

RBA expected to deviate from the Fed and hold rates steady Inflation risks remain a concern; labor market is tight AUDUSD faces resistance near 0.6835; next barrier around 0.6875-0.6900   RBA to keep rates steady  It will be time for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to announce its rate decision when its policy meeting concludes on Tuesday, but don't expect a Fed-like rate surprise.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD stands beneath 8-month peak

AUDUSD creates several days of gains Prices added more than 3% since rebound off 200-day SMA Stochastic and RSI point down AUDUSD has been hovering near its opening levels today, after the new high of 0.6838 that was posted on Thursday. The pair bounced off the 200-day SMA near the 0.6620 support level, gaining more than 3%. According to technical oscillators, the stochastic is easing from the overbought area, while the RSI is ticking down above the 50 level.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Week Ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap

SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation September flash PMIs to do the rounds; spotlight on euro area SNB to keep trimming as strong franc bites The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be the final major central bank to announce its policy decision in September.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD posts new 9-month high

AUDUSD rally continues after bounce off 200-day SMA Technical oscillators are mixed AUDUSD has printed a fresh nine-month high of 0.6838 earlier today, creating the fourth consecutive green candle. The pair found significant support at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6620, continuing the medium-term bullish structure. The technical oscillators are showing some contradicting sings in the daily chart.
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XM市场研究 - 3周前

Week Ahead – Fed to cut interest rates, BoE and BoJ to remain on hold

Investors are split between a 25 and 50bps Fed rate cut BoE expected to stand pat, but resume cuts in November BoJ to also stay on hold, focus to fall on future hike signals Let the Fed cuts begin Since the July US employment report, which sparked fears of recession, investors have been trying to figure out the size of the potential rate cut the Fed will deliver at its September gathering, and the moment of truth has finally come.
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XM市场研究 - 3周前Bullish

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD remains above 200-day SMA

AUDUSD battles with 50-day SMA Stochastics point north but RSI flattens AUDUSD had a bullish start on Thursday, with the price flirting with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6670. Momentum signals are neutral-to-bullish, with the RSI appearing to be heading south, while the stochastic oscillator has reversed higher after the bullish crossover within its %K and %D lines in the oversold area.
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XM市场研究 - 3周前

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD strictly capped by 50-day SMA

AUDUSD finds support at 0.6640 Stochastic and MACD keep downside momentum AUDUSD held in losses for the second week in a row, dropping beneath the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) and near key support area of 0.6640 before turning neutral. The stochastic oscillator in the daily chart continues to lose ground in the oversold region, while the MACD is moving well below its trigger line, reducing chances for a meaningful recovery.
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XM市场研究 - 3周前

Daily Comment – Dollar and equities rebound from NFP-led losses as focus turns to US CPI

US jobs report adds to slowdown fears but provides no clarity about Fed policy Dollar whipsaws while stocks tumble as ‘September effect’ takes hold But risk sentiment improves ahead of US CPI report and ECB decision Signs of optimism after NFP bloodbath Markets began the second week of September in a somewhat more upbeat mood as US slowdown jitters were put on hold even as inflation data out of China pointed to persistently weak demand in the world’s second-largest economy.
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XM市场研究 - 4周前

Week Ahead – ECB poised to cut again, US CPI to get final say on size of Fed cut

ECB is expected to ease again, but will it be another ‘hawkish cut’? US CPI report will be the last inflation update before September FOMC UK monthly data flurry begins with employment and GDP numbers ECB to cut rates for second time The European Central Bank’s carefully choreographed rate-cutting cycle got off to an awkward start in June after last-minute data upsets.
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XM市场研究 - 4周前Neutral

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD bounces off 0.6700 but looks weak

AUDUSD flirts with weekly downtrend line Stochastics create bullish cross But RSI holds near neutral level AUDUSD has reversed to the upside after the rebound off the 0.6700 round number with strong barrier coming from the weekly descending trend line around 0.6750. Over the last couple of weeks, the market has been developing back and forth of the aforementioned diagonal line, looking weak to change the outlook to a more positive one.
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XM市场研究 - 4周前

Daily Comment – Equities weakness lingers as focus remains on US data

Equities remain on the back foot as key US data on the menu today ADP, jobless claims and ISM Services could prove market moving Dollar’s mixed performance continues, yen benefits OPEC+ production rumours fail to push oil prices higher US data releases in the spotlight Equity markets continue to exhibit a rather unexpected fragility as second tier data like Wednesday’s JOLTs job openings resulted in another negative session in most stock indices around the globe.
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XM市场研究 - 4周前

Daily Comment – Wall Street tumbles amid September blues

Yen and franc gain, aussie the main loser Wall Street tumbles on risk-off September start ISM mfg. PMI rekindles economic concerns Oil collapses on prospect of Libyan accord Risk aversion prevails The US dollar outperformed most of its major counterparts on Tuesday, losing ground only versus the traditional safe havens such as the yen and the franc.
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