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GBPUSD

XM市场研究

XM市场研究 - 15小时前Bullish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD slips near strong support of 1.3265

GBPUSD remains above 20-day SMAStochastic and RSI reflect latest downside move.GBPUSD is notably retreating from the two-and-a-half-year high of 1.3433, meeting the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.3235. Furthermore, the pair is still hovering above the strong support of 1.3265, but the technical oscillators mirror the latest downside move.The stochastic oscillator is heading south from the overbought region with strong momentum, while the RSI is moving horizontally above the neutral thre
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Neutral

Volatility jumps as market prepares for an action-packed week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges as dollar remains on the back footVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly high, led by oilStock indices experience strong volatility amidst a tentative rallyEuro/dollar volatility has jumped over the past week, as the FX market is whipsawed by the possibility of another strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has risen aggressively, with the yen surrendering part of its recent sizeable gains on the back of weaker data and a general el
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XM市场研究 - 6天前Neutral

Central banks easing: the race to the bottom has officially commenced

Fed to lead the easing spree in the fourth quarter of 2024A conservative approach is priced in for ECB and BoESNB, BoC and RBNZ to ease further; RBA could follow suitBoJ could surprise with another rate hike by year-end More rate cuts on the way in the fourth quarter of 2024Another round of central banks’ meetings has been completed with the Fed stealing the show by announcing the start of its easing cycle.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Midweek Technical Look – USDJPY, GBPUSD, Gold

Gold follows bullish pattern; looks for fresh buying above 2,650  GBPUSD comes under pressure after 2½-year high; downside pressure may persistUSDJPY makes progress but is not out of the woods
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Bullish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD retreats from 2½-year high

GBPUSD may create bearish correction in short-termStochastic and RSI turn downGBPUSD is ticking lower after it posted a fresh two-and-a-half-year high of 1.3428 during today’s session.According to technical oscillators, the stochastic is creating a bearish crossover between its %K and %D lines in the overbought region, while the RSI is falling from the 70 level.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Daily Comment – Equities are on autopilot but cannot help the dollar

Increased expectations for another 50bps Fed cutDollar continues to suffer but euro’s strength is perplexingPositive impact of China’s measures gradually fadesGold and oil diverge despite Middle East developmentsIs the Fed preparing for another 50bps cut? The markets seem to have settled down after last week’s big events with equities rallying, the US dollar underperforming and gold climbing regardless of the newsflow.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Volatility drops across the board after the Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar underperforms Volatility in commodities stays elevated, led by gold Stock indices experience decent volatility despite the rally Euro/dollar volatility has eased a bit over the past week, as the market digested the strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has dropped aggressively lower, as the yen surrendered part of its recent sizeable gains, despite the fact that the BoJ maintained the chances of another rate
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Daily Comment – China’s stimulus blitz supports positive equities sentiment

Dollar tries to recover as Fedspeak favors further cuts China announces new measures, positive initial market reaction Aussie benefits from another hawkish RBA meeting Gold, oil and pound rallies continue   Debate for the next Fed cut intensifies US stocks remain in a positive mood as Fed speakers continue to advocate for further rate cuts, despite the fact that the US data confirm the strength of the US economy.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Bullish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD unlocks another new 2½-year high

GBPUSD eases a bit after strong rally Technical oscillators move slightly down GBPUSD skyrocketed to a fresh two-and-a-half-year high of 1.3365 earlier today, adding almost 3% after the bounce off the 1.3000 round mark. The technical oscillators indicate an overstretched market. The stochastic is turning slightly lower in the overbought territory, while the RSI is pointing down following the pullback at the 70 level.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Daily Comment – Euro sinks on poor PMIs, dollar firms ahead of Fedspeak

Eurozone PMIs dip into contraction zone, euro takes a dive Stocks mixed as weak PMIs offset optimism about China stimulus Dollar edges up as after Waller comments; Powell and PCE inflation eyed next Euro tumbles as recession fears return Eurozone business activity unexpectedly contracted in September according to the flash PMI estimates for September, sparking fresh concerns about the health of the economy.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Stocks’ positive reaction might continue until the second Fed rate cut

The Fed announced its first rate cut with a relatively balanced rhetoric History points to a high probability of back-to-back moves Dollar/yen and Treasury yields tend to drop until the second rate cut Barring a major event, stocks’ positive performance could continue The Fed commenced its monetary policy easing cycle in aggressive fashion by announcing an almost unanimous decision to cut rates by 50bps.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Week Ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap

SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation September flash PMIs to do the rounds; spotlight on euro area SNB to keep trimming as strong franc bites The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be the final major central bank to announce its policy decision in September.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Daily Comment – Markets digest Fed decision; BoE and BoJ stand pat

Dollar tumbles on bets of more aggressive Fed rate cuts BoE keeps rates steady, reiterating caution about future cuts BoJ stands pat, Ueda says more rate hikes are coming S&P 500, Dow Jones and gold hit new record highs Fed outcome allows risk-on trading The dollar tumbled against all but two of its major counterparts on Thursday, with the main gainers being the risk-linked currencies, the aussie and the kiwi.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Quick Brief – BoE keeps rates on hold; pound likes the news

BoE keeps rates stable at 5.0%; reduces gilt holdings as expected Policymakers remain worried about inflation risks GBPUSD jumps into the 1.3300 region  The Bank of England (BoE) kept interest rates on hold at 5.0% as expected on Thursday by a majority of 8-1 versus 7-2 analysts predicted. Having kicked off its easing cycle with a normal 25bps rate cut back in August, the central bank judged that a gradual approach on the pace of rate reductions is more appropriate until inflat
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XM市场研究 - 2周前Bullish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD unlocks new high, but eyes remain on 1.3200

GBPUSD prints new high near 1.3300 after FOMC rate decision Technical signals remain bullish but clear close above 1.3200 is needed BoE expected to leave rates steady at 11:00 GMT   GBPUSD remains committed to closing above the 1.3200 level for one more day. The Fed delivered a surprise double rate cut of 50bps on Wednesday, lifting the pair to a new 2 ½-year high of 1.3296. Powell expressed confidence in avoiding a downturn but gave no clear indication of the pace of the easi
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Daily Comment – Fed goes big with first rate cut; BoE takes the torch

Fed lowers interest rates by 50bps New dot plot signals another 50bps cuts by December Wall Street closes in the red, futures point to higher open BoE and BoJ take the central bank torch It has begun! The Fed decided to kickstart this easing cycle with a bold 50bps rate cut, and to flag more reductions before the turn of the year. The new dot plot pointed to another 50bps worth of reductions by the end of 2024, which translates into two quarter-point cuts at each of the remain
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Daily Comment – Let the Fed rate cuts begin

Dollar trades indecisively ahead of important Fed decision Investors assign a strong 60% chance for a 50bps cut Wall Street and gold traders also on the edge of their seats Pound rebounds on sticky UK inflation Fed to press the rate cut button The dollar rebounded against most of its major peers on Tuesday but resumed its slide early today as traders appear reluctant to assume a clear direction ahead of the very important Fed decision later today, when the Committee is expecte
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Quick Brief – UK inflation unchanged at 2.2% ahead of BoE decision

UK CPI remains at 2.2% y/y in August but core rate ticks up Services CPI also quickens slightly as BoE seen holding rates   The UK’s inflation data for August was largely in line with expectations, changing little in terms of rate cut expectations for tomorrow when the Bank of England is due to announce its latest policy decision. The headline CPI rate held steady at 2.2% y/y as expected, but core CPI increased from 3.3% to 3.6% y/y, beating forecasts of 3.5%.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD pauses quick rebound near 1.3200

GBPUSD faces mild losses near 1.3200; short-term bias remains positive UK CPI data due on Wednesday; FOMC & BoE rate decisions next in focus   GBPUSD traded muted around the 1.3200 level and the short-term descending trendline from August’s peak on Tuesday as investors eagerly waited for the UK CPI data and the FOMC policy announcement on Wednesday, as well as the BoE rate decision on Thursday.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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