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XM市场研究

Could the post-UK elections market moves resemble 1997 and 2010?

Thursday's UK elections expected to bring political change Similar developments in both 1997 and 2010 weighed on the pound History points to a significant easing in pound volatility across the board Recent FTSE 100 performance matches the 2015 pre-election moves General election in sight The UK general election will be held this Thursday, July 4, the day that the US will be celebrating its 248th anniversary from the adoption of the Declaration of Independence.
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 index experiences pre-election decline

UK 100 index erases June’s recovery attempt as the UK election looms A break below 8,055 could worsen short-term outlook   The UK 100 stock index (cash) continues to suffer for the sixth consecutive trading day, extending its downleg aggressively to the critical support zone of 8,110 on Tuesday ahead of the election day on July 4. The index could not mark a new higher high above the key resistance area of 8,300 and the important resistance line from February 2022, increasing fears
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Market Comment – Dollar rallies as market angst spreads

Higher Treasury yields contribute to stock indices’ retreat Euro under pressure as the pound benefits from the election Gold fails to benefit from risk-off; oil drops ahead of OPEC meeting Dollar is on the front foot The US dollar is gaining against its main counterparts with the euro/dollar pair dropping to a 2-week low. The catalyst for this move appears to be the bond market as the 10-year US Treasury yield is hovering above 4.6% for the first time since early May.
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Equities rally as US data softens – Stock Markets

US stock indices reach new highs as chances of a Fed rate cut jump Extra focus on US retailers’ earnings Utility stocks record the strongest monthly rally since 2022 Could US car manufacturers benefit from the new EV tariffs? Equity markets continue their advance boosted by the softer US data. In particular, Wednesday’s weaker US inflation report is keeping the door firmly open to a Fed rate cut during the summer, supporting the current risk appetite, despite the fact that
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 index swings to all-time high

UK 100 hits record high after the BoE rate decision; up 8% year-to-date Next target at 8,500, but fears of an overbought market might delay rally The UK 100 stock index (cash) has been performing incredibly well over the past four months, staging another exponential rally this week to unlock an all-time high of 8,393 on Thursday. The index has surpassed a couple of targets, including the 2023 top of 8,045 that temporarily ceased bullish actions on April 12. The spotlight is now on t
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Stock market outlook 2024: Soft landings, rate cuts, and elections

Stellar year for US stock markets, fueled by ‘soft landing’ hopes Can the rally persist in 2024, despite high valuations and election uncertainty?  European valuations are much cheaper, partly reflecting recession concerns   US stocks race higher, but tougher environment ahead It’s been a sensational year for US equity markets.
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 cash index sell-off halts near March 2023 lows

The UK 100 cash index is trading sideways today following an aggressive sell-off since the July 3 local peak. The index has actually been experiencing a series of lower highs and lower lows since April 21, 2023, religiously obeying a downward sloping trendline. It is now hovering a tad above the March 20, 2023 low, potentially the first major stock index to revisit these lows.
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Why is FTSE 100 left out of the stock market party? – Stock Market News

Undoubtedly, major global stock indices have exhibited remarkable performance since the beginning of the year, with tech companies being the main driving force behind this rally. However, the FTSE 100 index, which was the sole survivor of the 2022 global selloff, has been massively underperforming for a wide range of reasons. Are UK stocks extremely cheap at the current levels or is there limited growth potential in the economy?
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The UK 100 cash index has tentatively returned inside its 7,601-7,687 rectangle that acted as strong resistance during the January-December 2022 period. The index has been trading mostly sideways over the past few sessions despite the fact other developed stock market indices have been recording higher highs for 2023. Despite the considerable white space, a tentative symmetrical triangle is gradually forming.
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 cash index back inside key range

The UK 100 cash index has been trading sideways over the past few trading sessions, as it has returned inside the 7,599-7,689 range that acted as strong resistance during the January-December 2022 period. This area was eventually broken forcefully in January 2023, but it has now come into play again. In addition, a series of lower highs and higher lows is supporting the current index move.
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