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Technical Analysis – Is Tesla’s bearish spiral about to end soon?



  • The week begins with Tesla stock hitting new lows.

  • Critical support trendline raises hopes for a bullish reversal

  • Q1 earnings to be announced on April 23 after the bell

 

Tesla’s stock started Monday’s session with a downward gap, hitting a nearly 18-month low of 138.84, before ending the day with minimal gains at 141.88.

With a substantial portion of the January-July 2023 uptrend retraced, investors are now watching closely to see if there will be a bullish rotation in the near future as the important support trendline, which connects the 2020 and 2023 lows is within a breathing distance at 136.50. Based on technical indicators like the RSI and stochastic oscillator, the market is already in oversold territory. Hence, a positive change in sentiment is possible as everyone waits for Tesla’s earnings call today after the US market closes.

Once the bulls reclaim the 150.00 level, they could target the 20-day EMA near the former support of 160.15. The tentative resistance trendline from February around 168.80 and the 50-day EMA at 176.50 could be the next struggle. This is where the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the January-July 2023 uptrend is positioned. Hence, if this wall proves easy to pierce through, the price could accelerate towards the 200 psychological mark.

In the alternative scenario, where the crucial support trendline at 136.50 cracks, the sell-off could expand towards the 125.50 barrier last seen in January, and then down to 114.00. Even lower, the bears might again attempt to reach the 100.00 psychological level.

In a nutshell, Tesla’s stock is hovering around a crucial pivotal zone, responsible for a substantial price surge in the past. A step below that threshold currently seen at 136.50 would disappoint traders, likely activating fresh selling orders. 

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