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It could be an interesting week for Sweden's crown

BUZZ-COMMENT-It could be an interesting week for Sweden's crown Sept 30 (Reuters) - It will be a light week on the data front, retail sales and PMI numbers, but the crown is on the offensive and the technical picture is providing some interest with key support levels in sight for EUR/SEK. With fundamental drivers likely to be balanced through October, the crown may well play out a steady sideways bias versus the euro.
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October set to be a steady month for the SEK

BUZZ-COMMENT-October set to be a steady month for the SEK Sept 26 (Reuters) - The main drivers for the Swedish crown through October are set to be more balanced and so the main bias versus the euro is likely to be sideways. The latest input from the Riksbank, a 25-basis point rate cut and lowering of the rate path, has been absorbed by the market.
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Swedish crown shows promising signs

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swedish crown shows promising signs Sept 25 (Reuters) - A knee-jerk reaction to today's Riksbank rate cut saw EUR/SEK rally to 11.3390 from 11.3030 but the subsequent pullback to 11.3060 bodes well for the SEK. The recovery, helped by positive investor sentiment and easier monetary policy at the European Central Bank and U.S. Federal Reserve, is holding despite the Riksbank's view that its easing cycle could accelerate.
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Size of looming Riksbank rate cut set to be a close call

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Size of looming Riksbank rate cut set to be a close call Repeats with change to first line Sept 25 (Reuters) - The Swedish central bank meets today and is widely expected to deliver a 25-basis point rate cut. However, the arguments for a 50-basis point reduction could be stronger than many think. The Swedish domestic inflation and growth backdrop, coupled with falling interest rates abroad, make the case for a larger cut.
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Size of looming Riksbank rate cut set to be a close call

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Size of looming Riksbank rate cut set to be a close call Repeats with change to first line Sept 25 (Reuters) - The Swedish central bank meets today and is widely expected to deliver a 25-basis point rate cut. However, the arguments for a 50-basis point reduction could be stronger than many think. The Swedish domestic inflation and growth backdrop, coupled with falling interest rates abroad, make the case for a larger cut.
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FX options wrap - Risk, EUR 1.10, GBP barrier, U.S. Election

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk, EUR 1.10, GBP barrier, U.S. Election FX option implied volatility is mostly heavy, especially with the latest China stimulus package supporting risk. The U.S. election is now only six weeks away, but dealers point out a lack of option end-user demand for FX volatility protection when compared with the same period before the 2020 election.
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Size of looming Riksbank rate cut set to be a close call

BUZZ-COMMENT-Size of looming Riksbank rate cut set to be a close call Sept 20 (Reuters) - The Swedish central bank meets next week and is widely expected to deliver a 25-basis point rate cut. However, the arguments for a 50-basis point reduction could be stronger than many think. The Swedish domestic inflation and growth backdrop, coupled with falling interest rates abroad, make the case for a larger cut.
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Sweden's crown vulnerable but showing resilience

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sweden's crown vulnerable but showing resilience Sept 12 (Reuters) - The Swedish crown remains vulnerable but, despite a bearish backdrop, is beginning to show signs of resilience versus the euro, helped by technical factors . Falling Swedish inflation, 1.2% y/y CPIF in August, a deteriorating labour market and interest rate cuts abroad continue to support the Riksbank's dovish stance.
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Swedish inflation falls in August, sets stage for more rate cuts

UPDATE 3-Swedish inflation falls in August, sets stage for more rate cuts Swedish CPIF inflation falls 0.5% mo/mo, up 1.2% yr/yr Outcome just below analysts forecasts Inflation fall driven by lower energy prices Riksbank seen cutting rates later this month Recasts, adds analyst comment in paragraphs 8-9 STOCKHOLM, Sept 12 (Reuters) - Swedish inflation fell in August to land well below the Riksbank's target thanks to lower energy prices, setting the stage for the central bank to cut interest rate
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US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut

FOREX-US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut US core inflation rises 0.3% in August US dollar hits three-week high versus Swiss franc Dollar falls to lowest level since late December Fed funds futures lower odds of 50-basis-point cut this month Updates as of 3:27 p.m. ET/1927 GMT By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Chibuike Oguh NEW YORK, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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Sweden's crown in danger despite cloud support

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sweden's crown in danger despite cloud support Sept 10 (Reuters) - Following a EUR/SEK trend reversal on Aug. 30 the Swedish crown has been under increasing pressure and the outlook is dimming. The daily EUR/SEK chart is showing potential for back-to-back Ichimoku cloud failures and the cloud base line, 11.4615, has slowed the SEK fall. However, the market has broken above the 200-day moving average and eyes the 100-day average, currently at 11.4838. A close inside the Ichimoku clou
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Sweden's Riksbank could surprise the market

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sweden's Riksbank could surprise the market Sept 9 (Reuters) - A half-point interest rate cut shouldn’t be ruled out when the Riksbank holds its next policy meeting on Sept 24-25. Swedish inflation is low, core prices rose 1.7% in July - below the 2.0% Riksbank target, and a further drop in CPIF is expected when August inflation data is released later this week.
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Swedish crown on course to re-visit 2024 highs

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swedish crown on course to re-visit 2024 highs Aug 29 (Reuters) - A combination of bearish technical pointers for EUR/SEK and a market beginning to entertain the idea of a half-point rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve in September could help send the crown back to levels around 11.00-11.1000. A mixed bag of Swedish data, released early in the Thursday session, may have stalled the EUR/SEK fall around the 11.3130 level (new bear trend low) but the cross remains bearish on the day
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Three more Riksbank meetings and three more rate cuts

BUZZ-COMMENT-Three more Riksbank meetings and three more rate cuts Aug 28 (Reuters) - The stage is set for further cuts in Swedish interest rates before the year is out, with the three remaining policy meetings expected to deliver a total reduction of 75 basis points, taking the key rate to 2.75%. Swedish inflation is under control, there are signs of weakness in the labour market and the crown is benefitting from lower global interest rates.
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Swedish c.bank lowers key interest rate, sees more cuts this year

UPDATE 3-Sweden lowers key interest rate, sees more cuts this year Riksbank cuts policy rate as expected to 3.50% from 3.75% Says inflation risks have diminished, could speed up rate cuts Adds additional analyst, central bank comment, currency reaction By Simon Johnson STOCKHOLM, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Sweden's central bank lowered its key interest rate to 3.50% from 3.75% on Tuesday, as expected, and said it could speed up policy easing if price pressures do not pick up, holding out the possibility
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Swedish headline inflation edges up in July, still tame

UPDATE 2-Swedish headline inflation edges up in July, still tame Headline inflation 1.7% yr/yr up from 1.3% pvs month Inflation ex-energy 2.2% vs 2.3% in June Central bank likely to cut policy rate next week Adds background, graph STOCKHOLM, Aug 14 (Reuters) - Headline Swedish inflation picked up pace slightly in July, data published on Wednesday showed, but overall price pressures look tame and should not prevent the central bank cutting the policy rate next week with further easing likely late
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Promising start to August for the Swedish crown

BUZZ-COMMENT-Promising start to August for the Swedish crown Aug 1 (Reuters) - A four-day recovery versus the euro and despite a mixed Swedish PMI report for July, there is potential for a trend reversal in EUR/SEK through August. A bearish harami candlestick on July 26 set the ball rolling. The harami reversal signal is made up of two candles, a small real body candle holds within the prior session's much larger real body.
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August might be a better month for the Swedish crown

BUZZ-COMMENT-August might be a better month for the Swedish crown July 30 (Reuters) - For the SEK crown, July has not been a good month as EUR/SEK rallied to a high of 11.7780, 5.65% above the June 12 1.1250 low. However, EUR/SEK looks ripe for a period of adjustment as an overbought condition shows up on the charts. The Riksbank is still expected to cut its key rate by 25 basis points to 3.5% in August and there could be scope for a further three cuts before the year is out.
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Stand-out FX option expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option expiries for the week ahead July 12 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some huge strikes worth noting for Friday, July 12 , and for the week ahead. Stand-out EUR/USD strike expiries are on Monday at 1.0800 on 2.1 billion euros, between 1.0815-30 on 3.5 billion euros, 1.0850 on 1.1 billion euros, 1.0895-1.0900 on 4.6 billion euros and between
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Swedish inflation slows in June, paving way for more rate cuts

UPDATE 3-Swedish inflation slows in June, paving way for more rate cuts Headline inflation 1.3% in June, below forecast Lowest figure since mid-2021 Supports Riksbank plans for more rate cuts in H2 Adds analyst comment in paragraph 4, currency reaction, graph By Simon Johnson STOCKHOLM, July 12 (Reuters) - Swedish inflation slowed to its lowest pace in more than three years in June, data published on Friday showed, supporting plans by the central bank to ease policy further after cutting rates i
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